Sunday, November 9, 2008

Consistency is Consistent

I took the top 20 drivers in points after the past race in Atlanta.
Then I took a look at those same 20 drivers after the Dover race.
Basically I wanted to see who was the hottest in the last 5 races.

Some interesting results from this experiment:

  1. Jimmie Johnson has checked out. If it weren't for him being so far out ahead, the rest of the Chase guys would actually be very close to each other in a tight battle.
  2. The surprise of David Ragan, who didn't even make the Chase, but is on fire in these 5 races.
  3. The most amazing thing though, with the exception of Ragan, is the Chase drivers are still the best drivers in this snapshot of races. So they were the best 12 guys in the first 26 races of the year, and are essentially the best guys in this set of 5 races I chose to view here. How consistent is that group of 12 over the course of the year? Clearly it must be related to the fact they are the best. I was not expecting to see a repeat of such consistency, that the cream always rises to the top.
Top 20 drivers as of Dover race
Blue indicates Chase Driver


After 33 Races (Atlanta) Last 5 Races After 28 races (Dover)
Jimmie Johnson 6248 868 5380
Jeff Burton 6030 722 5308
David Ragan 3944 717 3227
Greg Biffle 6063 683 5380
Carl Edwards 6065 675 5390
Jeff Gordon 5936 664 5272
Kevin Harvick 5941 652 5289
Clint Bowyer 5934 650 5284
Denny Hamlin 5823 626 5197
Matt Kenseth 5835 612 5223
Kyle Busch 5783 603 5180
Tony Stewart 5847 570 5277
Dale Earnhardt Jr. 5829 568 5261
Kurt Busch 3386 553 2833
Jamie McMurray 3304 539 2765
Bobby Labonte 3232 490 2742
Ryan Newman 3495 463 3032
Martin Truex Jr. 3529 462 3067
Kasey Kahne 3720 458 3262
Brian Vickers 3362 375 2987